At first glance, seems like a really mediocre week, specially when compared with Week 1's stellar picks. Let's take a closer look.
Wins:
Percy Harvin: Scored a TD, caught 5 passes. Pretty solid day for someone who's no better than a flex, and had the best receiving performance of anyone in that game not named Calvin.
Darren Mcfadden: This is a cross between a tie and a win, but as always, I judge performances based off PPR, and he caught a few passes, scored a TD. Rushing #s were totally stale though...the TD kept this from being a bust.
Terrell Owens: He would have had a 100 yard day if he didn't have dropsies. Whoops.
Chris Johnson: Wow. Just wow. 50something in PPR leagues? Hope you won if you started him :P
Laurent Robinson: I say the guy will boom and leave in on the bench for scrubby Davone Bess who barely saw the field. Serves me right. Very solid 17 pts from someone no better than a WR3/flex in deep leagues. At least I had him going in my 20 teamer.
Ronnie Brown: 2nd most TDs he's scored in a game since 2008 started...heyo.
Philly D: Well that was a nice crash back to Earth.
Willie Parker: This just in - he officially stinks.
Julius Jones: I'm aware he scored a TD, but he also had 9 total yards. 9. NINE.
Laveranues Coles: Like Julius, he had a TD, but 9 total yards. Phail.
TIES:
Lee Evans: Scored a good sized TD, but only 1 catch. I'll call 10 points a tie, close to a win.
Larry Johnson: No TDs, but more yardage than I expected. And when did he learn to catch more than 1 pass a game?
Washington D: Likely a tie depending on your league settings...couple sack, fumble reception, and 7 points or something.
LOSSES:
Santana Moss: Campbell constantly looked at Cooley it seems...don't know why, but I guess Moss will just be one of thise inconsistent performers.
Leon Washington: Could have been a tie, but lost a fumble. Shocked the Jets didn't try to get him at least 4-6 screen passes, but they won, so what do I know.
Michael Bush: 9 carries doesn't get you a win. Unless you're Lendale White against Detroit.
Michael Clayton: Much like Santana's situation, the TE got all the looks. He's droppable again if Bryant returns anytime soon.
Brandon Jacobs: He's pretty much totally reliant on TDs to boom since he doesn't catch passes, much like Turner, Lendale, etc. Didn't score a TD, so a loss here.
Zach Miller: Apparently the Chiefs gameplanned specifically to stop him in the passing game. Guess it worked.
Donald Brown: That random TD scamper sealed the deal. More importantly though, I feel like he'll slowly start to see more carries than Addai as the year goes on, so hang onto him if you have him.
Dwayne Bowe: My logic was absolutely sound. The problem was, Nnamdi got taken off the field due to some minor injury for a portion of the game. And of course, the series he came off, Bowe scored a TD against Stanford Routt. Funny how that works.
Anquan Boldin: Caught 8 catches, and since I'm PPR biased, he had a decent week, so a loss here.
Matt Schaub: Annnnd Tennessee's D has taken a step backwards. First Ben, now Schaub putting up gaudy #s. Finnegan and that safety duo overrated?
10 wins, 3 ties, 10 losses. This would have been one of my worse weeks of last year too, so a bounceback is hopefully forthcoming. Hope you all didn't get screwed over by Monday Night like I did...onto week 3!
Monday, September 21, 2009
NE/NYJ, BAL/SD, DAL/NYG thoughts
NE/NYJ:
-First and foremost, Brady was the biggest part of the loss for the Pats, and anyone who disagrees wasn't watching the game. I'll detail other reasons below, but he missed about 6 to 10 wide open passes, including a TD pass to Edelman that would have totally changed the game complexion. I expect him to be rusty/have off timing for at least a couple more weeks (a la Peyton last year after his surgery), but if Brady is the biggest problem, I'm not too worried.
-Edelman had a very admirable game, but Welker was sorely missed. He's basically Brady's 'Oh Sh1t' receiver, and you could tell Brady and Edelman didn't have the timing and communication Brady and Welker do.
-The Pats should have run the screen/run the ball more. My favorite beat writer, Mike Reiss, is going to ask Belichick for me tomorrow why the screen wasn't incorporated more into the game, but I'm expecting a Belichickian answer ;P
-Revis played a great game, but don't kid yourself that he's better than Nnamdi or anything. The interception he made was stellar, but he had way more help over the top than Nnamdi ever did...why do you think Galloway was targeted so much?
-Speaking of Galloway, he seems pretty expendable to me. He's lost whatever he once had.
-11 penalties? You'll never win with that...and the delay of games were inexcusable
-The Pats really need a dynamic returner...we won the field position battle in the first half, but I feel like it's an accomplishment when a kickoff is returned past the 25. Shouldn't be like that.\
-With a defensive minded coach and solid personnel, the Jets might have the best D in the league right now.
-After the fumble in the first part of the game, the pass rush downright sucked. I know the Jets have a good OL, but the rush shouldn't be that invisible.
-Jonathan Wilhite has the potential to be a very good corner, but he needs to cut down on some boneheaded mistakes.
-For the first time I can remember, I saw no fire in the Pats team, and that worries me. They almost looked complacent/nonchalant, and Pats teams of old would have been motivated as hell losing to the Jets for all of the 2nd half. If the swagger is gone, this team has no shot at the Bowl.
-Whoever calls the offensive plays (Bill O'Brien?) should probably be fired. The playcalling is insanely predictable, and a 100/43 pass/run ratio is plain stupid.
-I'm still iffy on Mark Sanchez. He looked poised when he had time, but if his o-line wasn't one of the best in the league, he wouldn't look even half as good. People are overrating him.
-Leon Washington is still a better back than Thomas Jones.
-Dustin Keller should become Sanchez's #2 option...just as consistent as Cotchery, and a bigger target too.
BAL/SD:
-Joe Flacco is poised for a nice sophomore leap, and that's saying something.
-The Ravens D is missing something, because they should have been all over that o-line yesterday. That said, credit to The Biggest Douche in the League...err...Philip Rivers, for playing well with a patchwork o-line.
-San Diego's lines are heading to a bad place. They need to fix stuff in a hurry. Merriman will need to revert to his old self again if SD wants to win the Bowl.
-I almost feel like SD is better off without LT...he's no longer a special back, and when he's out, they aren't forced to feed him the ball at least 15 times a game. Maybe they should use Sproles between the 20s and LT as a redzone back. Sproles isn't an all down RB. But he is amazing on screens/etc.
-The San Diego offense would be 5 times worse without Vincent Jackson. If he keeps it up, he's going to be mentioned in the top 10 WRs in the league conversations.
-Kelley Washington has the best touchdown celebration ever. Sorry Ochocinco. I love that squirrel dance.
-Like New England, San Diego's inability to get TDs instead of FGs cost them the game.
-Ray Lewis is still a big playmaker.
DAL/NYG:
-Every time Tony Romo screwed up, the world became a better place. He cost his team the game, and you can't argue this. At all. And it was a wonderful thing.
-However, if Romo actually plays well, that running game is downright scary. And to be fair, that INT off Witten's foot was really fluky, but was still a terrible throw.
-The Giants d-line looked a LOT worse when Tuck got hurt. Is he more important to the line than Osi? I'd debate that if I had a bigger sample size.
-For all the talk of the Giants needing a #1 WR, they completely exploited the Cowboys secondary, which is both praise for the WRs and a knock on the Cowboys secondary. Steve Smith could be the next Derrick Mason/Torry Holt...amazing routes. That corps will be good when Nicks is healthy and playing at full potential.
-Very solid job of holding Ware in check by the Giants o-line...as most people know, one of the best lines in the league.
-The Cowboys dared Eli to beat them, and he did. He did make some total bonehead throws, but looked pretty good overall. The big thing is...he needs to do it consistently.
-I took a nap at halftime and woke up halfway through the 3rd, so if I missed something in that part of the game, my bad. The nap was worth it :P
-The Giants are a good team, but they've played 2 division opponents really close now. I thought they'd beat the Skins handily and the Cowboys by at least 7, if not 10.
-Corey Webster is good, but he's not a top 5 CB like I've seen stated before. Not yet anyways.
Ok, I'm sure I forgot some stuff...I really need to write this on Sunday night, not a day after :P MIA/IND thoughts to come.
-First and foremost, Brady was the biggest part of the loss for the Pats, and anyone who disagrees wasn't watching the game. I'll detail other reasons below, but he missed about 6 to 10 wide open passes, including a TD pass to Edelman that would have totally changed the game complexion. I expect him to be rusty/have off timing for at least a couple more weeks (a la Peyton last year after his surgery), but if Brady is the biggest problem, I'm not too worried.
-Edelman had a very admirable game, but Welker was sorely missed. He's basically Brady's 'Oh Sh1t' receiver, and you could tell Brady and Edelman didn't have the timing and communication Brady and Welker do.
-The Pats should have run the screen/run the ball more. My favorite beat writer, Mike Reiss, is going to ask Belichick for me tomorrow why the screen wasn't incorporated more into the game, but I'm expecting a Belichickian answer ;P
-Revis played a great game, but don't kid yourself that he's better than Nnamdi or anything. The interception he made was stellar, but he had way more help over the top than Nnamdi ever did...why do you think Galloway was targeted so much?
-Speaking of Galloway, he seems pretty expendable to me. He's lost whatever he once had.
-11 penalties? You'll never win with that...and the delay of games were inexcusable
-The Pats really need a dynamic returner...we won the field position battle in the first half, but I feel like it's an accomplishment when a kickoff is returned past the 25. Shouldn't be like that.\
-With a defensive minded coach and solid personnel, the Jets might have the best D in the league right now.
-After the fumble in the first part of the game, the pass rush downright sucked. I know the Jets have a good OL, but the rush shouldn't be that invisible.
-Jonathan Wilhite has the potential to be a very good corner, but he needs to cut down on some boneheaded mistakes.
-For the first time I can remember, I saw no fire in the Pats team, and that worries me. They almost looked complacent/nonchalant, and Pats teams of old would have been motivated as hell losing to the Jets for all of the 2nd half. If the swagger is gone, this team has no shot at the Bowl.
-Whoever calls the offensive plays (Bill O'Brien?) should probably be fired. The playcalling is insanely predictable, and a 100/43 pass/run ratio is plain stupid.
-I'm still iffy on Mark Sanchez. He looked poised when he had time, but if his o-line wasn't one of the best in the league, he wouldn't look even half as good. People are overrating him.
-Leon Washington is still a better back than Thomas Jones.
-Dustin Keller should become Sanchez's #2 option...just as consistent as Cotchery, and a bigger target too.
BAL/SD:
-Joe Flacco is poised for a nice sophomore leap, and that's saying something.
-The Ravens D is missing something, because they should have been all over that o-line yesterday. That said, credit to The Biggest Douche in the League...err...Philip Rivers, for playing well with a patchwork o-line.
-San Diego's lines are heading to a bad place. They need to fix stuff in a hurry. Merriman will need to revert to his old self again if SD wants to win the Bowl.
-I almost feel like SD is better off without LT...he's no longer a special back, and when he's out, they aren't forced to feed him the ball at least 15 times a game. Maybe they should use Sproles between the 20s and LT as a redzone back. Sproles isn't an all down RB. But he is amazing on screens/etc.
-The San Diego offense would be 5 times worse without Vincent Jackson. If he keeps it up, he's going to be mentioned in the top 10 WRs in the league conversations.
-Kelley Washington has the best touchdown celebration ever. Sorry Ochocinco. I love that squirrel dance.
-Like New England, San Diego's inability to get TDs instead of FGs cost them the game.
-Ray Lewis is still a big playmaker.
DAL/NYG:
-Every time Tony Romo screwed up, the world became a better place. He cost his team the game, and you can't argue this. At all. And it was a wonderful thing.
-However, if Romo actually plays well, that running game is downright scary. And to be fair, that INT off Witten's foot was really fluky, but was still a terrible throw.
-The Giants d-line looked a LOT worse when Tuck got hurt. Is he more important to the line than Osi? I'd debate that if I had a bigger sample size.
-For all the talk of the Giants needing a #1 WR, they completely exploited the Cowboys secondary, which is both praise for the WRs and a knock on the Cowboys secondary. Steve Smith could be the next Derrick Mason/Torry Holt...amazing routes. That corps will be good when Nicks is healthy and playing at full potential.
-Very solid job of holding Ware in check by the Giants o-line...as most people know, one of the best lines in the league.
-The Cowboys dared Eli to beat them, and he did. He did make some total bonehead throws, but looked pretty good overall. The big thing is...he needs to do it consistently.
-I took a nap at halftime and woke up halfway through the 3rd, so if I missed something in that part of the game, my bad. The nap was worth it :P
-The Giants are a good team, but they've played 2 division opponents really close now. I thought they'd beat the Skins handily and the Cowboys by at least 7, if not 10.
-Corey Webster is good, but he's not a top 5 CB like I've seen stated before. Not yet anyways.
Ok, I'm sure I forgot some stuff...I really need to write this on Sunday night, not a day after :P MIA/IND thoughts to come.
Friday, September 18, 2009
Week 2 Booms and Busts
Amazing week last week with something like 20 wins and 4 losses...don't know if that's repeatable, but as always, simply throwing another opinion out there to help with your decisions. Good luck this week!
BOOMS:
Washington D vs STL: You already know most any D against the Rams is spot start worthy. However, take a look at Washington's next 5 matchups: vs STL, @DET (pressure on a rook QB), vs TB (offense is nothing special), @CAR (if Delhomme keeps it up or Feeley isn't starting yet), vs KC (see how Cassel looks). All of those matchup have potential for solid points provided you stay active on goings-on with things like QB situations in CAR/KC, whether Bryant is playing for TB, etc. If you like streaming defenses like I do much of the time, this D may be worth a multiple week play.
Santana Moss vs STL: Had a cruddy week 1, and the coaches came out and said they needed to get him more involved. Here's me putting my trust that this isn't just talk and they'll try to back it up.
Percy Harvin @DET: The coaches say Berrian will get more involved, but unlike above, why? Harvin is a better weapon than Berrian in my opinion, and AP actually historically doesn't have 200 yd, 3 TD games against Detroit all the time, contrary to popular belief. Minnesota will still need to throw the ball, and if Detroit plays Minnesota like they did last year, the game will be close, and the passing game will be active all 4 quarters.
Leon Washington vs NE: Shonn Greene still doesn't have a role, and Thomas Jones is still a bum in my mind. Fred Jackson torched the NE D last week, and without Mayo, Leon should have a solid game, especially for you PPR guys. Maybe no TD since TJ is still around, but yardage from screen passes, etc should come.
Michael Bush/Darren Mcfadden @KC: The Ravens dismantled the Chiefs something like 500 to 180 total yards, so that D isn't ready to show up just yet. Total crap shoot as to who gets the TD (I'd say 60% Bush, 40% Mcfadden chance), but both should be flex worthy at the least, especially since Bush is 'officially' the #2
Terrell Owens/Lee Evans vs TB: If Miles Austin and Patrick Crayton can torch this D, I'm willing to guess they can too. NE played solid in the secondary last week and purposely doubled these guys alot of the time. I don't think TB is quite up to that task yet.
Chris Johnson vs HOU: Lenwhale looked like he was still on Patron last week, and CJ averaged about 4.8 YPC last year against Houston in 2 games. Who knows how the redzone will look, but I'd expect at least 20 touches from him, which should lead to a solid game.
Michael Clayton @BUF: This scares me to type. Like, really scares me to type. But Bryant is likely out, and if the TB staff can take a page from New England, SOMEONE needs to be able to run all over the middle against Buffalo. Might be Sammie Stroughter, but I'll gamble with this guy.
Brandon Jacobs @DAL: Dallas gave up 175 yards rushing last week. Brandon Jacobs has the best o-line in football. You do the math.
Laurent Robinson @WAS: Bulger has to throw to someone when they're getting whooped, and Robinson looked decent last week minus the drop. Eventual #1?
Ronnie Brown vs IND: If Sparano isn't dumb and actually gives him 20+ touches, he should be able to do damage against Indy. But hey, if he doesn't, go blame Sparano, not me.
Zach Miller @KC: I feel like listing 3 Raiders means I'm destined to fail. Oh well. Jamarcus's only reliable target (unless we're relying on dropped passes, in which case DHB is your man)
BUSTS:
Julius Jones @SF: Julius was much better at home last year, and San Fran's D looked really solid last week. Julius also fluked into a big play, otherwise he would have had his typical Lendale White-esque line, minus the touchdowns.
Donald Brown @MIA: I'd imagine Miami is pissed, and I'm aware Addai scored last week, which he's always a threat to do I guess, but he also had 2.5 YPC. Donald Brown showed nothing special last week either, and since Addai had the GL carries, he's always a threat to have a semi-decent week. Brown, maybe not so much.
Laveranues Coles @GB: He might bounce back, but Caldwell put up ok stats, and Coles looked lost and had the Braylon Edwards hands syndrome. GB's D also played well last week, and their secondary has always been solid.
Larry Johnson vs OAK: That D has changed with Big Sey coming in, especially that front line. Another dud week for a dud player.
Dwayne Bowe vs OAK: NNAMDI GIVE UP TD TO VINCENT JACKSON. NNAMDI MAD. NNAMDI GIVE UP ABOUT 25 YARDS LAST TIME HE SAW DWAYNE BOWE. NNAMDI SMASH DWAYNE BOWE.
Anquan Boldin @JAC: I almost feel like he's a decoy until Breaston gets better, and let's face it: he's no Tim Hightower, amirite? I'd have reservations about him until I either saw his explosiveness back or a big game from him.
Philly D: They're playing New Orleans. I'd bet my house they don't score 35 points again.
Willie Parker @CHI: No Urlacher, but there's a big old committee, and he looked about as fast as Peyton Manning with a broken leg.
Matt Schaub @TEN: Schaub had a line of 188 yds, 0 TDs and 3 INTs at Tennessee last year. His home game against Tennessee saw 1 TD. His o-line looked decrepit last week. I'd stick him on the bench this week, unless you have better options. He looks even worse if Walter can't play btw.
BOOMS:
Washington D vs STL: You already know most any D against the Rams is spot start worthy. However, take a look at Washington's next 5 matchups: vs STL, @DET (pressure on a rook QB), vs TB (offense is nothing special), @CAR (if Delhomme keeps it up or Feeley isn't starting yet), vs KC (see how Cassel looks). All of those matchup have potential for solid points provided you stay active on goings-on with things like QB situations in CAR/KC, whether Bryant is playing for TB, etc. If you like streaming defenses like I do much of the time, this D may be worth a multiple week play.
Santana Moss vs STL: Had a cruddy week 1, and the coaches came out and said they needed to get him more involved. Here's me putting my trust that this isn't just talk and they'll try to back it up.
Percy Harvin @DET: The coaches say Berrian will get more involved, but unlike above, why? Harvin is a better weapon than Berrian in my opinion, and AP actually historically doesn't have 200 yd, 3 TD games against Detroit all the time, contrary to popular belief. Minnesota will still need to throw the ball, and if Detroit plays Minnesota like they did last year, the game will be close, and the passing game will be active all 4 quarters.
Leon Washington vs NE: Shonn Greene still doesn't have a role, and Thomas Jones is still a bum in my mind. Fred Jackson torched the NE D last week, and without Mayo, Leon should have a solid game, especially for you PPR guys. Maybe no TD since TJ is still around, but yardage from screen passes, etc should come.
Michael Bush/Darren Mcfadden @KC: The Ravens dismantled the Chiefs something like 500 to 180 total yards, so that D isn't ready to show up just yet. Total crap shoot as to who gets the TD (I'd say 60% Bush, 40% Mcfadden chance), but both should be flex worthy at the least, especially since Bush is 'officially' the #2
Terrell Owens/Lee Evans vs TB: If Miles Austin and Patrick Crayton can torch this D, I'm willing to guess they can too. NE played solid in the secondary last week and purposely doubled these guys alot of the time. I don't think TB is quite up to that task yet.
Chris Johnson vs HOU: Lenwhale looked like he was still on Patron last week, and CJ averaged about 4.8 YPC last year against Houston in 2 games. Who knows how the redzone will look, but I'd expect at least 20 touches from him, which should lead to a solid game.
Michael Clayton @BUF: This scares me to type. Like, really scares me to type. But Bryant is likely out, and if the TB staff can take a page from New England, SOMEONE needs to be able to run all over the middle against Buffalo. Might be Sammie Stroughter, but I'll gamble with this guy.
Brandon Jacobs @DAL: Dallas gave up 175 yards rushing last week. Brandon Jacobs has the best o-line in football. You do the math.
Laurent Robinson @WAS: Bulger has to throw to someone when they're getting whooped, and Robinson looked decent last week minus the drop. Eventual #1?
Ronnie Brown vs IND: If Sparano isn't dumb and actually gives him 20+ touches, he should be able to do damage against Indy. But hey, if he doesn't, go blame Sparano, not me.
Zach Miller @KC: I feel like listing 3 Raiders means I'm destined to fail. Oh well. Jamarcus's only reliable target (unless we're relying on dropped passes, in which case DHB is your man)
BUSTS:
Julius Jones @SF: Julius was much better at home last year, and San Fran's D looked really solid last week. Julius also fluked into a big play, otherwise he would have had his typical Lendale White-esque line, minus the touchdowns.
Donald Brown @MIA: I'd imagine Miami is pissed, and I'm aware Addai scored last week, which he's always a threat to do I guess, but he also had 2.5 YPC. Donald Brown showed nothing special last week either, and since Addai had the GL carries, he's always a threat to have a semi-decent week. Brown, maybe not so much.
Laveranues Coles @GB: He might bounce back, but Caldwell put up ok stats, and Coles looked lost and had the Braylon Edwards hands syndrome. GB's D also played well last week, and their secondary has always been solid.
Larry Johnson vs OAK: That D has changed with Big Sey coming in, especially that front line. Another dud week for a dud player.
Dwayne Bowe vs OAK: NNAMDI GIVE UP TD TO VINCENT JACKSON. NNAMDI MAD. NNAMDI GIVE UP ABOUT 25 YARDS LAST TIME HE SAW DWAYNE BOWE. NNAMDI SMASH DWAYNE BOWE.
Anquan Boldin @JAC: I almost feel like he's a decoy until Breaston gets better, and let's face it: he's no Tim Hightower, amirite? I'd have reservations about him until I either saw his explosiveness back or a big game from him.
Philly D: They're playing New Orleans. I'd bet my house they don't score 35 points again.
Willie Parker @CHI: No Urlacher, but there's a big old committee, and he looked about as fast as Peyton Manning with a broken leg.
Matt Schaub @TEN: Schaub had a line of 188 yds, 0 TDs and 3 INTs at Tennessee last year. His home game against Tennessee saw 1 TD. His o-line looked decrepit last week. I'd stick him on the bench this week, unless you have better options. He looks even worse if Walter can't play btw.
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
OAK/SD thoughts
-Jamarcus Russell seriously needs to work on his short/medium accuracy. That deep bomb to Murphy was nice, but they wouldn't have needed that if he could have throw just a few of his passes in the area of receivers.
-As I said before the season, Murphy is a better WR than DHB. Yesterday just enforced that.
-Why on Earth did the Raiders coaches deviate from the run game when it was working so well?
-It bears repeating: Philip Rivers is a classless prick. One day, someone is going to hit him a little too low for all the mouthing off, taunting, etc. I might hate this guy more than anyone else in the NFL (including Peyton, who I hate, but have utmost respect for.)
-The SD o-line is in trouble if they don't get people healthy.
-Richard Seymour is going to help the d-line in Oakland in a big way. Not only did he get constant pressure, but allowed others on the line to come through as well. He's going to get a big check from someone if he keeps it up.
-The San Diego skill players bailed Philip Rivers out. He led a nice game ending drive, but other than that, he threw several passes that receivers bailed him out on, and couldn't do much with great starting position several times. I'm aware he was under alot of pressure, but for someone who just got 100 million bucks, he needs to step up more.
-Antonio Cromartie has fallen off a cliff since his 10 INT year. What happened?
-Merriman isn't the same guy he was. At least not yet. I'm sure injuries are still affecting him, and maybe his mind is still on the assault thing.
-Nate Kaeding still looks like a turtle.
-Jamarcus Russell wouldn't be starting if it wasn't for Zach Miller. A TE is a QB's best friend indeed.
-Mcfadden and Bush are going to provide a really nice speed/power combo this season, provided they stay healthy.
-The Raiders need Chaz Schilens back. Maybe I'm abnormally high on this guy, but they have NO ONE besides Louis Murphy, and he really only fits the speed type mold.
-Good to see Antonio Gates do alright...one of the few SD players who has an ounce of class.
-San Diego seems to have no chemistry or team pride, and I'm pretty sure everyone will attribute this to Norv Turner, and I agree. He seems so dull, and just kind of shrugs things off at times when he should be energetic.
-The Raiders are morons for playing the LBs so deep on that 3rd and long to Sproles. I've never understood why more teams don't spy a solid, speedy pass catching RB in those situation. Same thing happened with NE and Fred Jackson yesterday. If there's a long bomb/hail mary type thing, trust your 3 DB's in the area to beat the 1 WR.
-LT might be close to done. He had solid stats, but showed no burst, no explosiveness that we're all used to, and he's already injured? If Norv is smart, when LT comes back, he'll RBBC to preserve LT.
-Legedu Naanee needs to overtake Chris Chambers on the depth chart. Dude is done.
-As I said before the season, Murphy is a better WR than DHB. Yesterday just enforced that.
-Why on Earth did the Raiders coaches deviate from the run game when it was working so well?
-It bears repeating: Philip Rivers is a classless prick. One day, someone is going to hit him a little too low for all the mouthing off, taunting, etc. I might hate this guy more than anyone else in the NFL (including Peyton, who I hate, but have utmost respect for.)
-The SD o-line is in trouble if they don't get people healthy.
-Richard Seymour is going to help the d-line in Oakland in a big way. Not only did he get constant pressure, but allowed others on the line to come through as well. He's going to get a big check from someone if he keeps it up.
-The San Diego skill players bailed Philip Rivers out. He led a nice game ending drive, but other than that, he threw several passes that receivers bailed him out on, and couldn't do much with great starting position several times. I'm aware he was under alot of pressure, but for someone who just got 100 million bucks, he needs to step up more.
-Antonio Cromartie has fallen off a cliff since his 10 INT year. What happened?
-Merriman isn't the same guy he was. At least not yet. I'm sure injuries are still affecting him, and maybe his mind is still on the assault thing.
-Nate Kaeding still looks like a turtle.
-Jamarcus Russell wouldn't be starting if it wasn't for Zach Miller. A TE is a QB's best friend indeed.
-Mcfadden and Bush are going to provide a really nice speed/power combo this season, provided they stay healthy.
-The Raiders need Chaz Schilens back. Maybe I'm abnormally high on this guy, but they have NO ONE besides Louis Murphy, and he really only fits the speed type mold.
-Good to see Antonio Gates do alright...one of the few SD players who has an ounce of class.
-San Diego seems to have no chemistry or team pride, and I'm pretty sure everyone will attribute this to Norv Turner, and I agree. He seems so dull, and just kind of shrugs things off at times when he should be energetic.
-The Raiders are morons for playing the LBs so deep on that 3rd and long to Sproles. I've never understood why more teams don't spy a solid, speedy pass catching RB in those situation. Same thing happened with NE and Fred Jackson yesterday. If there's a long bomb/hail mary type thing, trust your 3 DB's in the area to beat the 1 WR.
-LT might be close to done. He had solid stats, but showed no burst, no explosiveness that we're all used to, and he's already injured? If Norv is smart, when LT comes back, he'll RBBC to preserve LT.
-Legedu Naanee needs to overtake Chris Chambers on the depth chart. Dude is done.
Monday, September 14, 2009
Week 1 Boom/Bust Wins and Losses
Wins:
Frank Gore: His yardage total was garbage, but multiple TDs is a win almost every time.
Mike Bell: For the slot you used him, you'll likely take the 143 yardage. Can't imagine he was more than an RB3/flex play for anyone, if that.
Tim Hightower: I'm a PPR advocate, so this is a win in my book. Those catching #s were insane, but unlikely to be repeated.
Drew Brees: Wow.
Matt Hasselbeck: Did have 2 picks, but also good yardage and 3 scores. Good points overall for someone who's a QB2 for most people.
Randy Moss: PPR beast week.
Steve Slaton: Didn't do squat against a Jets D that was swarming all over.
Chris Johnson: No real commentary, just bad #s against a great D
Larry Johnson: See above. Except LJ is over the hill.
Willie Parker: Hope you all listened! A dreadful week.
Jason Campbell: About what I expected...2 turnovers, about 200 yards, 1 score.
Bernard Berrian: A nice, fat, goose egg in all formats. You're welcome.
Terrell Owens: More like Terrell Owned.
Lee Evans: And the trend against NE continues.
Antonio Bryant: He got hurt, but bad #s are bad #s in fantasy. And Leftwich was pressured alot, for the record.
Ties:
Ray Rice: Didn't have a score as expected. A tie simply because his catch total wasn't as high as I liked, but still had about 120 total yards.
Losses:
Eddie Royal: Didn't see this coming at all. I think he's a great buy low candidate. Marshall still had dropsy problems, and as Orton clicks more, his targets/receptions should increase.
Trent Edwards: New England played him interestingly and allowed him to dink and dunk, which led to 2 scores for him.
Matt Ryan: Happy he was a loss, since I had him. Solid #s.
Aaron Rodgers: No turnovers, but mediocre yardage and TD counts for someone I expected more from.
Overall, a good week,.
Frank Gore: His yardage total was garbage, but multiple TDs is a win almost every time.
Mike Bell: For the slot you used him, you'll likely take the 143 yardage. Can't imagine he was more than an RB3/flex play for anyone, if that.
Tim Hightower: I'm a PPR advocate, so this is a win in my book. Those catching #s were insane, but unlikely to be repeated.
Drew Brees: Wow.
Matt Hasselbeck: Did have 2 picks, but also good yardage and 3 scores. Good points overall for someone who's a QB2 for most people.
Randy Moss: PPR beast week.
Steve Slaton: Didn't do squat against a Jets D that was swarming all over.
Chris Johnson: No real commentary, just bad #s against a great D
Larry Johnson: See above. Except LJ is over the hill.
Willie Parker: Hope you all listened! A dreadful week.
Jason Campbell: About what I expected...2 turnovers, about 200 yards, 1 score.
Bernard Berrian: A nice, fat, goose egg in all formats. You're welcome.
Terrell Owens: More like Terrell Owned.
Lee Evans: And the trend against NE continues.
Antonio Bryant: He got hurt, but bad #s are bad #s in fantasy. And Leftwich was pressured alot, for the record.
Ties:
Ray Rice: Didn't have a score as expected. A tie simply because his catch total wasn't as high as I liked, but still had about 120 total yards.
Losses:
Eddie Royal: Didn't see this coming at all. I think he's a great buy low candidate. Marshall still had dropsy problems, and as Orton clicks more, his targets/receptions should increase.
Trent Edwards: New England played him interestingly and allowed him to dink and dunk, which led to 2 scores for him.
Matt Ryan: Happy he was a loss, since I had him. Solid #s.
Aaron Rodgers: No turnovers, but mediocre yardage and TD counts for someone I expected more from.
Overall, a good week,.
NE/BUF thoughts
Wow, that game was a rollercoaster for my emotions. Onto some objective thoughts.
-The Pats playcalling was putrid at times. What was with all the draws on 3rd and 4? You have the best QB in the league. I'm aware he's rusty, but that's how you shake it off. And those 6 OL formations SCREAMED run, which is why all those plays got stuffed.
-The Pats 3rd down D was dreadful for alot of the game. The pressure was not good at all til late in the game, in which I assume the Bills OL was tired or jittery or something.
-The loss of Mayo seriously hurt the Pats, especially the ability to cover Fred Jackson. We need Mayo back, or we're toast against even more explosive backs who can catch passes.
-Tommy Boy looked really rusty the first half, but I'm really glad he played well in the second half. If the rust is almost gone already, that's good news for us, and bad news for the rest of the league.
-This wouldn't have been a game if we had the ability to finish drives. 2 or 3 4th and short stalls, FGs instead of TDs up until late...that needs to change.
-Why don't the Pats ride the hot RB? Maroney looked great his first 4 runs, then randomly came out, and he sure didn't look hurt because he was right back out there on the kickoff.
-Matt Light needs to fix whatever suck he had in the first half. I know Schobel is a great DE, but wow. You're a Pro Bowl LT. Act like one.
-Welker looked rusty as well, but I'm assuming this is because he didn't play with Brady in the preseason and had the knee issue.
-Tully Banta Cain was the best pass rusher. That was fine over the short term, but won't be for the longterm.
-The Bills OL played extremely well in actual game situations considering their raw nature. Penalties killed them.
-Trent Edwards looked pretty decent, especially with time in the pocket.
-The Pats need Galloway to free up...he was invisible the whole game. We're lucky we have Faulk and that Watson showed up that game, otherwise teams will just be doubling Moss/Welker all day.
-Sebastian Vollmer is going to be an animal in this league.
-Yesterday, I said the Jets are likely #2 in the East. Now, it could be a race between the Bills and Jets. I still think the Dolphins were an overrated fluke.
-Between the Wilfork call, the no-call on the Schobel play and the questionable call on Adalius (I'm aware he suplexed Edwards, so I guess I can live with it), the officiating sucked bigtime. I know I'm biased, but wow.
All I can think of for now...back to SD/OAK.
-The Pats playcalling was putrid at times. What was with all the draws on 3rd and 4? You have the best QB in the league. I'm aware he's rusty, but that's how you shake it off. And those 6 OL formations SCREAMED run, which is why all those plays got stuffed.
-The Pats 3rd down D was dreadful for alot of the game. The pressure was not good at all til late in the game, in which I assume the Bills OL was tired or jittery or something.
-The loss of Mayo seriously hurt the Pats, especially the ability to cover Fred Jackson. We need Mayo back, or we're toast against even more explosive backs who can catch passes.
-Tommy Boy looked really rusty the first half, but I'm really glad he played well in the second half. If the rust is almost gone already, that's good news for us, and bad news for the rest of the league.
-This wouldn't have been a game if we had the ability to finish drives. 2 or 3 4th and short stalls, FGs instead of TDs up until late...that needs to change.
-Why don't the Pats ride the hot RB? Maroney looked great his first 4 runs, then randomly came out, and he sure didn't look hurt because he was right back out there on the kickoff.
-Matt Light needs to fix whatever suck he had in the first half. I know Schobel is a great DE, but wow. You're a Pro Bowl LT. Act like one.
-Welker looked rusty as well, but I'm assuming this is because he didn't play with Brady in the preseason and had the knee issue.
-Tully Banta Cain was the best pass rusher. That was fine over the short term, but won't be for the longterm.
-The Bills OL played extremely well in actual game situations considering their raw nature. Penalties killed them.
-Trent Edwards looked pretty decent, especially with time in the pocket.
-The Pats need Galloway to free up...he was invisible the whole game. We're lucky we have Faulk and that Watson showed up that game, otherwise teams will just be doubling Moss/Welker all day.
-Sebastian Vollmer is going to be an animal in this league.
-Yesterday, I said the Jets are likely #2 in the East. Now, it could be a race between the Bills and Jets. I still think the Dolphins were an overrated fluke.
-Between the Wilfork call, the no-call on the Schobel play and the questionable call on Adalius (I'm aware he suplexed Edwards, so I guess I can live with it), the officiating sucked bigtime. I know I'm biased, but wow.
All I can think of for now...back to SD/OAK.
Sunday thoughts: HOU/NYJ, GB/CHI
I paid most attention to the two games mentioned, so here are a couple thoughts:
TEXANS/JETS:
-The Houston o-line and offense downright sucked, which is evident by the boxscore and statistics. Slaton got nowhere, AJ was shut down, Schaub looked uncomfortable alot, and you could tell they missed Kevin Walter taking some of the coverage off of AJ.
-Coupled with the above, the Jets D looked amazing, and that was without 2 starters. The LBs (especially Harris and Scott) were flying around, pressure was good, coverage was good. This team will be the #2 in the AFC East barring another bomb dropping on my dear Pats.
-The Houston D wasn't terrible. They shut down the run game almost all day, except for two big plays by Thomas Jones. Leon Washington looked like the better back, though the stats don't show it.
-Dustin Keller is more WR than TE.
-Mark Sanchez looked great as the game went on. Initially, he threw a few balls that should have been picks. But once the jitters were gone, he looked poised, and was an animal on 3rd down. He also looked enthusiastic as heck too, which is something Jets fans need. This team might finally show signs of life and energy on the field and the sidelines. And all this was on the road.
-Chansi Stuckey's stat line was way overrated. A 30 yard TD reception came on a blown coverage that Freddie Mitchell could have scored on.
-Jerricho Cotchery's line was not overrated. Sanchez looked to him often, and these two could be a solid tandem for years.
BEARS/PACKERS:
-It's obviously too early to judge, but Jay Cutler's 4 picks could have easily been 6. A night to forget in Chicago.
-Both defenses looked really good, but Urlacher's loss could really hurt.
-Nathan Vasher got plain destroyed by Greg Jennings on the TD catch. This guy should never be in a 1 on 1 situation against cream of the crop wideouts.
-Ryan Grant only had 3.8 ypc, but looked alot better than last year
-On the other hand, Matt Forte totally lacked explosiveness when he had the ball, and Cutler rarely looked his way on passing situations. The Bears must find a way to use Forte effectively again if they're going to win, because if Cutler is flinging stuff around randomly like yesterday trying to win games, the Bears season will be done by Week 10.
-Same goes for Greg Olsen. Cutler needs to look his way more.
-Earl Bennett's stuff was mostly dinky dunky or screen passes. I didn't see anything really gamebreaking or explosive from him.
-Allen Barbre shouldn't be in the NFL. One of the worst performances by an OL in recent memory, and a big part of why Rodgers's #s looked so pedestrian.
-Rodgers had at least 3 or 4 passes that should have been caught that were dropped by Jordy Nelson and Donald Driver. Can't have that happen when they play a team who isn't giving them gifts once a quarter.
-Cullen Jenkins looked like a beast in the 3-4. The Green Bay D as a whole looks much improved, and some questions about the front 7 were answered yesterday.
-Brandon Chillar's sack was pretty fun to watch.
Thoughts from NE/BUF and SD/OAK will come tomorrow.
TEXANS/JETS:
-The Houston o-line and offense downright sucked, which is evident by the boxscore and statistics. Slaton got nowhere, AJ was shut down, Schaub looked uncomfortable alot, and you could tell they missed Kevin Walter taking some of the coverage off of AJ.
-Coupled with the above, the Jets D looked amazing, and that was without 2 starters. The LBs (especially Harris and Scott) were flying around, pressure was good, coverage was good. This team will be the #2 in the AFC East barring another bomb dropping on my dear Pats.
-The Houston D wasn't terrible. They shut down the run game almost all day, except for two big plays by Thomas Jones. Leon Washington looked like the better back, though the stats don't show it.
-Dustin Keller is more WR than TE.
-Mark Sanchez looked great as the game went on. Initially, he threw a few balls that should have been picks. But once the jitters were gone, he looked poised, and was an animal on 3rd down. He also looked enthusiastic as heck too, which is something Jets fans need. This team might finally show signs of life and energy on the field and the sidelines. And all this was on the road.
-Chansi Stuckey's stat line was way overrated. A 30 yard TD reception came on a blown coverage that Freddie Mitchell could have scored on.
-Jerricho Cotchery's line was not overrated. Sanchez looked to him often, and these two could be a solid tandem for years.
BEARS/PACKERS:
-It's obviously too early to judge, but Jay Cutler's 4 picks could have easily been 6. A night to forget in Chicago.
-Both defenses looked really good, but Urlacher's loss could really hurt.
-Nathan Vasher got plain destroyed by Greg Jennings on the TD catch. This guy should never be in a 1 on 1 situation against cream of the crop wideouts.
-Ryan Grant only had 3.8 ypc, but looked alot better than last year
-On the other hand, Matt Forte totally lacked explosiveness when he had the ball, and Cutler rarely looked his way on passing situations. The Bears must find a way to use Forte effectively again if they're going to win, because if Cutler is flinging stuff around randomly like yesterday trying to win games, the Bears season will be done by Week 10.
-Same goes for Greg Olsen. Cutler needs to look his way more.
-Earl Bennett's stuff was mostly dinky dunky or screen passes. I didn't see anything really gamebreaking or explosive from him.
-Allen Barbre shouldn't be in the NFL. One of the worst performances by an OL in recent memory, and a big part of why Rodgers's #s looked so pedestrian.
-Rodgers had at least 3 or 4 passes that should have been caught that were dropped by Jordy Nelson and Donald Driver. Can't have that happen when they play a team who isn't giving them gifts once a quarter.
-Cullen Jenkins looked like a beast in the 3-4. The Green Bay D as a whole looks much improved, and some questions about the front 7 were answered yesterday.
-Brandon Chillar's sack was pretty fun to watch.
Thoughts from NE/BUF and SD/OAK will come tomorrow.
Saturday, September 12, 2009
Quick season ranking predictions
I have a way more extensive post coming in the next couple days, but in the meantime, preliminary picks and stuff (no record predicting in this one, just standing order)
NFC East:
Eagles (2)
Giants
Cowboys
Redskins
NFC North:
Packers (3)
Vikings (6)
Bears
Lions
NFC South:
Falcons (1)
Saints (5)
Panthers
Bucs
NFC West:
Niners (4)
Cardinals
Seahawks
Rams
AFC East:
Patriots (1)
Dolphins
Jets
Bills
AFC North:
Steelers (4)
Ravens (5)
Bengals
Browns
AFC South:
Colts (3)
Texans (6)
Titans
Jags
AFC West:
Chargers (2)
Raiders
Chiefs
Broncos
Wild cards: Saints, Vikings, Ravens, Texans
WC Round:
Packers (3) > Vikings (6)
Saints (5) > Niners (4)
Colts (3) > Texans (6)
Ravens (5) > Steelers (4)
Div round:
Falcons (1) > Saints (5)
Eagles (2) > Packers (3)
Patriots (1) > Ravens (5)
Chargers (2) > Colts (3)
Conf round:
Falcons (1) > Eagles (2)
Patriots (1) > Chargerhomos (2)
SB:
Patriots > Falcons, 38-24
Apparently I think the Falcons are going to the Bowl, which is news to me. Hm.
NFC East:
Eagles (2)
Giants
Cowboys
Redskins
NFC North:
Packers (3)
Vikings (6)
Bears
Lions
NFC South:
Falcons (1)
Saints (5)
Panthers
Bucs
NFC West:
Niners (4)
Cardinals
Seahawks
Rams
AFC East:
Patriots (1)
Dolphins
Jets
Bills
AFC North:
Steelers (4)
Ravens (5)
Bengals
Browns
AFC South:
Colts (3)
Texans (6)
Titans
Jags
AFC West:
Chargers (2)
Raiders
Chiefs
Broncos
Wild cards: Saints, Vikings, Ravens, Texans
WC Round:
Packers (3) > Vikings (6)
Saints (5) > Niners (4)
Colts (3) > Texans (6)
Ravens (5) > Steelers (4)
Div round:
Falcons (1) > Saints (5)
Eagles (2) > Packers (3)
Patriots (1) > Ravens (5)
Chargers (2) > Colts (3)
Conf round:
Falcons (1) > Eagles (2)
Patriots (1) > Chargerhomos (2)
SB:
Patriots > Falcons, 38-24
Apparently I think the Falcons are going to the Bowl, which is news to me. Hm.
Season predictions (long post)
Basically gonna predict every game, add up the wins/losses, predict playoffs, see what happens. I'm bored apparently. My predicted winner in CAPS and on the lefthand side.
For the record, most of the end results are downright silly. I don't think Miami will be that bad. I don't think GB will be that good. There's alot of weird records, but whatever, more for entertainment's sake than anything. Enjoy.
Week 1:
PIT (1-0) vs ten (0-1)
ATL (1-0) vs mia (0-1)
BAL (1-0) vs kc (0-1)
CAR (1-0) vs phi (0-1)
CIN (1-0) vs den (0-1)
MIN (1-0) @ cle (0-1)
HOU (1-0) vs nyj (0-1)
IND (1-0) vs jax (0-1)
NO (1-0) vs det (0-1)
DAL (1-0) @ tb (0-1)
ARI (1-0) vs sf (0-1)
NYG (1-0) vs was (0-1)
SEA (1-0) vs stl (0-1)
GB (1-0) vs chi (0-1)
NE (1-0) vs buf (0-1)
SD (1-0) @ oak (0-1)
Week 2:
ATL (2-0) vs car (1-1)
PHI (1-1) vs no (1-1)
NE (2-0) @ nyj (0-2)
KC (1-1) vs oak (0-2)
JAX (1-1) vs ari (1-1)
TEN (1-1) vs hou (1-1)
GB (2-0) vs cin (1-1)
MIN (2-0) @ det (0-2)
WAS (1-1) vs stl (0-2)
BUF (1-1) vs tb (0-2)
SF (1-1) vs sea (1-1)
BAL (2-0) @ sd (1-1)
CHI (1-1) vs pit (1-1)
DEN (1-1) vs cle (0-2)
NYG (2-0) @ dal (1-1)
IND (2-0) @ mia (0-2)
Week 3:
PHI (2-1) vs kc (1-2)
GB (3-0) @ stl (0-3)
MIN (3-0) vs sf (1-2)
TEN (2-1) @ nyj (0-3)
NE (3-0) vs atl (2-1)
HOU (2-1) vs jac (1-2)
NYG (3-0) @ tb (0-3)
WAS (2-1) @ det (0-3)
BAL (3-0) vs cle (0-3)
CHI (2-1) @ sea (1-2)
NO (2-1) @ buf (1-2)
SD (2-1) vs mia (0-3)
OAK (1-2) vs den (1-2)
PIT (2-1) @ cin (1-2)
IND (3-0) @ ari (1-2)
CAR (2-1) @ dal (1-2)
Week 4:
WAS (3-1) vs tb (0-4)
TEN (3-1) @ jax (1-3)
HOU (3-1) vs oak (1-3)
CLE (1-3) vs cin (1-3)
IND (4-0) vs sea (1-3)
NYG (4-0) @ kc (1-3)
CHI (3-1) vs det (0-4)
BAL (4-0) @ ne (3-1) (I think maybe 1-3 teams in the league can beat us right now, and this is one)
MIA (1-3) vs buf (1-3)
NO (3-1) vs nyj (0-4)
SF (2-2) vs stl (0-4)
DAL (2-2) @ den (1-3)
SD (3-1) @ pit (2-2) (No Polamalu)
MIN (4-0) vs gb (3-1)
Week 5:
BAL (5-0) vs cin (1-4)
STL (1-4) vs min (4-1) (Favre is tired)
NYG (5-0) vs oak (1-4)
PHI (3-1) vs tb (0-5)
DAL (3-2) @ kc (1-4)
PIT (3-2) @ det (0-5)
BUF (2-3) vs cle (1-4)
CAR (3-1) vs was (3-2)
SF (3-2) vs atl (2-2)
ARI (2-2) vs hou (3-2)
SEA (2-3) vs jac (1-4)
NE (4-1) @ den (1-4)
TEN (4-1) vs ind (4-1)
MIA (2-3) vs nyj (0-5)
Week 6:
JAC (2-4) vs stl (1-5)
WAS (4-2) vs kc (1-5)
PIT (4-2) vs cle (1-5)
NO (4-1) vs nyg (5-1)
TB (1-5) vs car (3-2)
CIN (2-4) vs hou (3-3)
BAL (6-0) @ min (4-2)
GB (4-1) vs det (0-6)
SEA (3-3) vs ari (2-3)
PHI (4-1) @ oak (1-5)
NYJ (1-5) vs buf (2-4)
NE (5-1) vs ten (4-2)
ATL (3-2) vs chi (3-2)
SD (4-1) vs den (1-5)
Week 7:
IND (5-1) @ stl (1-6)
CHI (4-2) @ cin (2-5)
SD (5-1) @ kc (1-6)
PIT (5-2) vs min (4-3)
NE (6-1) @ tb (1-6)
HOU (4-3) vs sf (3-3)
GB (5-1) @ cle (1-6)
CAR (4-2) vs buf (2-5)
OAK (2-5) vs nyj (1-6)
ATL (4-2) @ dal (3-3)
NO (5-1) @ mia (2-4)
NYG (6-1) vs ari (2-4)
WAS (5-2) vs phi (4-2)
Week 8:
DAL (4-3) vs sea (3-4)
BUF (3-5) vs hou (4-4)
BAL (7-0) vs den (1-6)
NYJ (2-6) vs mia (2-5)
CHI (5-2) vs cle (1-7)
IND (6-1) vs sf (3-4)
DET (1-6) vs stl (1-7)
GB (6-1) vs min (4-4) (this should be fun)
TEN (5-2) vs jax (2-5)
SD (6-1) vs oak (2-6)
PHI (5-2) vs nyg (6-2)
ARI (3-4) vs car (4-3)
NO (6-1) vs atl (4-3)
Week 9:
BAL (8-0) @ cin (2-6)
NE (7-1) vs mia (2-6)
IND (7-1) vs hou (4-5)
GB (7-1) @ tb (1-7)
ATL (5-3) vs was (5-3)
CHI (6-2) vs ari (3-5)
JAC (3-5) vs kc (1-7)
NO (7-1) vs car (4-4)
SEA (4-4) vs det (1-7)
SF (4-4) vs ten (5-3)
NYG (7-2) vs sd (6-2)
PHI (6-2) vs dal (4-4)
PIT (6-2) @ den (1-7)
Week 10:
CHI (7-2) @ sf (4-5)
DET (2-7) @ min (4-5) (played em close twice last year)
DEN (2-7) @ was (5-4)
MIA (3-6) vs tb (1-8)
TEN (6-3) vs buf (3-6)
NO (8-1) @ stl (1-8)
JAC (4-5) @ nyj (2-7)
PIT (7-2) vs cin (2-7)
CAR (5-4) vs atl (5-4)
OAK (3-6) vs kc (1-8)
GB (8-1) vs dal (4-5)
PHI (7-2) @ sd (6-3)
ARI (4-5) vs sea (4-5)
NE (8-1) @ ind (7-2)
BAL (9-0) @ cle (1-8)
Week 11:
CAR (6-4) vs mia (3-7)
PIT (8-2) @ kc (1-9)
IND (8-2) @ bal (9-1)
CLE (2-8) @ det (2-8)
TB (2-8) vs no (8-2)
ATL (6-4) @ nyg (7-3)
JAC (5-5) vs buf (3-7)
DAL (5-5) vs was (5-5)
MIN (5-5) vs sea (4-6)
GB (9-1) vs sf (4-6)
STL (2-8) vs ari (4-6)
NE (9-1) vs nyj (2-8)
OAK (4-6) vs cin (2-8)
SD (7-3) @ den (2-8)
CHI (8-2) vs phi (7-3)
HOU (5-5) vs ten (6-4)
Week 12:
GB (10-1) @ det (2-9)
DAL (6-5) vs oak (4-7)
NYG (8-3) @ den (2-9)
BUF (4-7) vs mia (3-8)
STL (3-8) vs sea (4-7)
TEN (7-4) vs ari (4-7)
HOU (6-5) vs ind (8-3)
CIN (3-8) vs cle (2-9)
MIN (6-5) vs chi (8-3)
CAR (7-4) @ nyj (2-9)
ATL (7-4) vs tb (2-9)
PHI (8-3) vs was (5-6)
SD (8-3) vs kc (1-10)
SF (5-6) vs jac (5-6)
PIT (9-2) @ bal (9-2)
NO (9-2) vs ne (9-2) (2nd best throwing team our secondary sucks right now...total shootout)
Week 13:
BUF (5-7) vs nyj (2-10)
CHI (9-3) vs stl (3-9)
ATL (8-4) vs phi (8-4)
WAS (6-6) vs no (9-3)
TEN (8-4) @ ind (8-4)
PIT (10-2) vs oak (4-8)
KC (2-10) vs den (2-10)
CAR (8-4) vs tb (2-10)
HOU (7-5) @ jac (5-7)
CIN (4-8) vs det (2-10)
SD (9-3) @ cle (2-10)
NYG (9-3) vs dal (6-6)
SEA (5-7) vs sf (5-7)
ARI (5-7) vs min (6-6)
NE (10-2) @ mia (3-9)
GB (11-1) vs bal (9-3)
Week 14:
PIT (11-2) @ cle (2-11)
ATL (9-4) vs no (9-4)
TEN (9-4) vs stl (3-10)
JAC (6-7) vs mia (3-10)
MIN (7-6) vs cin (4-9)
BAL (10-3) vs det (2-11)
CHI (10-3) vs gb (11-2)
KC (3-10) vs buf (5-8)
NE (11-2) vs car (8-5)
IND (9-4) vs den (2-11)
HOU (8-5) vs sea (5-8)
TB (3-10) vs nyj (2-11)
WAS (7-6) @ oak (4-9)
SD (10-3) @ dal (6-7)
NYG (10-3) vs phi (8-5)
SF (6-7) vs ari (5-8)
Week 15:
JAC (7-7) vs ind (9-5)
NO (10-4) vs dal (6-8)
CLE (3-11) @ kc (3-11)
HOU (9-5) @ stl (3-11)
ATL (10-4) @ nyj (2-12)
TEN (10-4) vs mia (3-11)
PHI (9-5) vs sf (6-8)
NE (12-2) @ buf (5-9)
ARI (6-8) @ det (2-12)
PIT (12-2) vs gb (11-3)
BAL (11-3) vs chi (10-4)
DEN (3-11) vs oak (4-10)
SD (11-3)vs cin (4-10)
SEA (6-8) vs tb (3-11)
CAR (9-5) vs min (7-7)
WAS (8-6) vs nyg (10-4)
Week 16:
TEN (11-4) vs sd (11-4)
NO (11-4) vs tb (3-12)
ATL (11-4) vs buf (5-10)
PHI (10-5) vs den (3-12)
CIN (5-10) vs kc (3-12)
MIA (4-11) vs hou (9-6)
GB (12-3) vs sea (6-9)
CAR (10-5) @ nyg (10-5)
CLE (4-11) vs oak (4-11)
NE (13-2) vs jac (7-8)
PIT(13-2) vs bal (11-4)
ARI (7-8) vs stl (3-12)
SF (7-8) vs det (2-13)
IND (10-5) vs nyj (2-13)
WAS (9-6) vs dal (6-9)
CHI (11-4) vs min (7-8)
Week 17:
SF (8-8) vs stl (3-13)
MIN (8-8) @ nyg (10-6)
JAC (8-8) @ cle (4-12)
MIA (5-11) vs pit (13-3)
NE (14-2) @ hou (9-7)
TB (4-12) vs atl (11-5)
CAR (11-5) vs no (11-5)
NYJ (3-13) vs cin (5-11)
DAL (7-9) vs phi (10-6)
IND (11-5) @ buf (5-11)
DET (3-13) vs chi (11-5)
SD (12-4) vs was (9-7)
BAL (12-4) @ oak (4-12)
DEN (4-12) vs kc (3-13)
ARI (8-8) vs gb (12-4)
SEA (7-9) vs ten (11-5)
I DID PLAYOFF TIEBREAKERS TOTALLY RANDOMLY, SINCE I'M WAY TOO LAZY TO CHECK ACTUAL TIEBREAKERS.
NFC East:
Phi Eagles 10-6 (3 seed)
NY Giants 10-6
Was Redskins 9-7
Dal Cowboys 7-9
NFC North:
GB Packers 12-4 (1 seed)
Chi Bears 11-5 (6 seed)
Min Vikings 8-8
Det Lions 3-13
NFC South:
Atl Falcons 11-5 (2 seed)
NO Saints 11-5 (5 seed)
Car Panthers 11-5
TB Bucs 4-12
NFC West:
SF Niners 8-8 (4 seed)
Ari Cardinals 8-8
Sea Seahawks 7-9
Stl Rams 3-13
AFC East:
NE Patriots 14-2 (1 seed)
Mia Dolphins 5-11
Buf Bills 5-11
NY jets 3-13
AFC North:
Pit Steelers 13-3 (2 seed)
Bal Ravens 12-4 (5 seed)
Cin Bengals 5-11
Cle Browns 4-12
AFC South:
Ind Colts 11-5 (4 seed)
Ten Titans 11-5 (6 seed)
Hou Texans 9-7
Jac Jaguars 8-8
AFC West:
SD Chargers 12-4 (3 seed)
Den Broncos 4-12
Oak Raiders 4-12
KC Chiefs 3-13
WC Round:
BEARS (6) @ Eagles (3)
SAINTS (5) @ Niners (4)
TITANS (6) @ Chargers (3)
RAVENS (5) @ Colts (4)
(Haha wtf...every low seed/road team winning...weird)
Div Round:
PACKERS (1) vs Bears (6)
SAINTS (5) @ Falcons (2)
PATRIOTS (1) vs Titans (6)
STEELERS (2) vs Ravens (5)
Conf Round:
SAINTS (5) @ Packers (1)
PATRIOTS (1) vs Steelers (2)
SB:
Patriots > Saints, 38-31 (Redemption from week 12 apparently)
For the record, most of the end results are downright silly. I don't think Miami will be that bad. I don't think GB will be that good. There's alot of weird records, but whatever, more for entertainment's sake than anything. Enjoy.
Week 1:
PIT (1-0) vs ten (0-1)
ATL (1-0) vs mia (0-1)
BAL (1-0) vs kc (0-1)
CAR (1-0) vs phi (0-1)
CIN (1-0) vs den (0-1)
MIN (1-0) @ cle (0-1)
HOU (1-0) vs nyj (0-1)
IND (1-0) vs jax (0-1)
NO (1-0) vs det (0-1)
DAL (1-0) @ tb (0-1)
ARI (1-0) vs sf (0-1)
NYG (1-0) vs was (0-1)
SEA (1-0) vs stl (0-1)
GB (1-0) vs chi (0-1)
NE (1-0) vs buf (0-1)
SD (1-0) @ oak (0-1)
Week 2:
ATL (2-0) vs car (1-1)
PHI (1-1) vs no (1-1)
NE (2-0) @ nyj (0-2)
KC (1-1) vs oak (0-2)
JAX (1-1) vs ari (1-1)
TEN (1-1) vs hou (1-1)
GB (2-0) vs cin (1-1)
MIN (2-0) @ det (0-2)
WAS (1-1) vs stl (0-2)
BUF (1-1) vs tb (0-2)
SF (1-1) vs sea (1-1)
BAL (2-0) @ sd (1-1)
CHI (1-1) vs pit (1-1)
DEN (1-1) vs cle (0-2)
NYG (2-0) @ dal (1-1)
IND (2-0) @ mia (0-2)
Week 3:
PHI (2-1) vs kc (1-2)
GB (3-0) @ stl (0-3)
MIN (3-0) vs sf (1-2)
TEN (2-1) @ nyj (0-3)
NE (3-0) vs atl (2-1)
HOU (2-1) vs jac (1-2)
NYG (3-0) @ tb (0-3)
WAS (2-1) @ det (0-3)
BAL (3-0) vs cle (0-3)
CHI (2-1) @ sea (1-2)
NO (2-1) @ buf (1-2)
SD (2-1) vs mia (0-3)
OAK (1-2) vs den (1-2)
PIT (2-1) @ cin (1-2)
IND (3-0) @ ari (1-2)
CAR (2-1) @ dal (1-2)
Week 4:
WAS (3-1) vs tb (0-4)
TEN (3-1) @ jax (1-3)
HOU (3-1) vs oak (1-3)
CLE (1-3) vs cin (1-3)
IND (4-0) vs sea (1-3)
NYG (4-0) @ kc (1-3)
CHI (3-1) vs det (0-4)
BAL (4-0) @ ne (3-1) (I think maybe 1-3 teams in the league can beat us right now, and this is one)
MIA (1-3) vs buf (1-3)
NO (3-1) vs nyj (0-4)
SF (2-2) vs stl (0-4)
DAL (2-2) @ den (1-3)
SD (3-1) @ pit (2-2) (No Polamalu)
MIN (4-0) vs gb (3-1)
Week 5:
BAL (5-0) vs cin (1-4)
STL (1-4) vs min (4-1) (Favre is tired)
NYG (5-0) vs oak (1-4)
PHI (3-1) vs tb (0-5)
DAL (3-2) @ kc (1-4)
PIT (3-2) @ det (0-5)
BUF (2-3) vs cle (1-4)
CAR (3-1) vs was (3-2)
SF (3-2) vs atl (2-2)
ARI (2-2) vs hou (3-2)
SEA (2-3) vs jac (1-4)
NE (4-1) @ den (1-4)
TEN (4-1) vs ind (4-1)
MIA (2-3) vs nyj (0-5)
Week 6:
JAC (2-4) vs stl (1-5)
WAS (4-2) vs kc (1-5)
PIT (4-2) vs cle (1-5)
NO (4-1) vs nyg (5-1)
TB (1-5) vs car (3-2)
CIN (2-4) vs hou (3-3)
BAL (6-0) @ min (4-2)
GB (4-1) vs det (0-6)
SEA (3-3) vs ari (2-3)
PHI (4-1) @ oak (1-5)
NYJ (1-5) vs buf (2-4)
NE (5-1) vs ten (4-2)
ATL (3-2) vs chi (3-2)
SD (4-1) vs den (1-5)
Week 7:
IND (5-1) @ stl (1-6)
CHI (4-2) @ cin (2-5)
SD (5-1) @ kc (1-6)
PIT (5-2) vs min (4-3)
NE (6-1) @ tb (1-6)
HOU (4-3) vs sf (3-3)
GB (5-1) @ cle (1-6)
CAR (4-2) vs buf (2-5)
OAK (2-5) vs nyj (1-6)
ATL (4-2) @ dal (3-3)
NO (5-1) @ mia (2-4)
NYG (6-1) vs ari (2-4)
WAS (5-2) vs phi (4-2)
Week 8:
DAL (4-3) vs sea (3-4)
BUF (3-5) vs hou (4-4)
BAL (7-0) vs den (1-6)
NYJ (2-6) vs mia (2-5)
CHI (5-2) vs cle (1-7)
IND (6-1) vs sf (3-4)
DET (1-6) vs stl (1-7)
GB (6-1) vs min (4-4) (this should be fun)
TEN (5-2) vs jax (2-5)
SD (6-1) vs oak (2-6)
PHI (5-2) vs nyg (6-2)
ARI (3-4) vs car (4-3)
NO (6-1) vs atl (4-3)
Week 9:
BAL (8-0) @ cin (2-6)
NE (7-1) vs mia (2-6)
IND (7-1) vs hou (4-5)
GB (7-1) @ tb (1-7)
ATL (5-3) vs was (5-3)
CHI (6-2) vs ari (3-5)
JAC (3-5) vs kc (1-7)
NO (7-1) vs car (4-4)
SEA (4-4) vs det (1-7)
SF (4-4) vs ten (5-3)
NYG (7-2) vs sd (6-2)
PHI (6-2) vs dal (4-4)
PIT (6-2) @ den (1-7)
Week 10:
CHI (7-2) @ sf (4-5)
DET (2-7) @ min (4-5) (played em close twice last year)
DEN (2-7) @ was (5-4)
MIA (3-6) vs tb (1-8)
TEN (6-3) vs buf (3-6)
NO (8-1) @ stl (1-8)
JAC (4-5) @ nyj (2-7)
PIT (7-2) vs cin (2-7)
CAR (5-4) vs atl (5-4)
OAK (3-6) vs kc (1-8)
GB (8-1) vs dal (4-5)
PHI (7-2) @ sd (6-3)
ARI (4-5) vs sea (4-5)
NE (8-1) @ ind (7-2)
BAL (9-0) @ cle (1-8)
Week 11:
CAR (6-4) vs mia (3-7)
PIT (8-2) @ kc (1-9)
IND (8-2) @ bal (9-1)
CLE (2-8) @ det (2-8)
TB (2-8) vs no (8-2)
ATL (6-4) @ nyg (7-3)
JAC (5-5) vs buf (3-7)
DAL (5-5) vs was (5-5)
MIN (5-5) vs sea (4-6)
GB (9-1) vs sf (4-6)
STL (2-8) vs ari (4-6)
NE (9-1) vs nyj (2-8)
OAK (4-6) vs cin (2-8)
SD (7-3) @ den (2-8)
CHI (8-2) vs phi (7-3)
HOU (5-5) vs ten (6-4)
Week 12:
GB (10-1) @ det (2-9)
DAL (6-5) vs oak (4-7)
NYG (8-3) @ den (2-9)
BUF (4-7) vs mia (3-8)
STL (3-8) vs sea (4-7)
TEN (7-4) vs ari (4-7)
HOU (6-5) vs ind (8-3)
CIN (3-8) vs cle (2-9)
MIN (6-5) vs chi (8-3)
CAR (7-4) @ nyj (2-9)
ATL (7-4) vs tb (2-9)
PHI (8-3) vs was (5-6)
SD (8-3) vs kc (1-10)
SF (5-6) vs jac (5-6)
PIT (9-2) @ bal (9-2)
NO (9-2) vs ne (9-2) (2nd best throwing team our secondary sucks right now...total shootout)
Week 13:
BUF (5-7) vs nyj (2-10)
CHI (9-3) vs stl (3-9)
ATL (8-4) vs phi (8-4)
WAS (6-6) vs no (9-3)
TEN (8-4) @ ind (8-4)
PIT (10-2) vs oak (4-8)
KC (2-10) vs den (2-10)
CAR (8-4) vs tb (2-10)
HOU (7-5) @ jac (5-7)
CIN (4-8) vs det (2-10)
SD (9-3) @ cle (2-10)
NYG (9-3) vs dal (6-6)
SEA (5-7) vs sf (5-7)
ARI (5-7) vs min (6-6)
NE (10-2) @ mia (3-9)
GB (11-1) vs bal (9-3)
Week 14:
PIT (11-2) @ cle (2-11)
ATL (9-4) vs no (9-4)
TEN (9-4) vs stl (3-10)
JAC (6-7) vs mia (3-10)
MIN (7-6) vs cin (4-9)
BAL (10-3) vs det (2-11)
CHI (10-3) vs gb (11-2)
KC (3-10) vs buf (5-8)
NE (11-2) vs car (8-5)
IND (9-4) vs den (2-11)
HOU (8-5) vs sea (5-8)
TB (3-10) vs nyj (2-11)
WAS (7-6) @ oak (4-9)
SD (10-3) @ dal (6-7)
NYG (10-3) vs phi (8-5)
SF (6-7) vs ari (5-8)
Week 15:
JAC (7-7) vs ind (9-5)
NO (10-4) vs dal (6-8)
CLE (3-11) @ kc (3-11)
HOU (9-5) @ stl (3-11)
ATL (10-4) @ nyj (2-12)
TEN (10-4) vs mia (3-11)
PHI (9-5) vs sf (6-8)
NE (12-2) @ buf (5-9)
ARI (6-8) @ det (2-12)
PIT (12-2) vs gb (11-3)
BAL (11-3) vs chi (10-4)
DEN (3-11) vs oak (4-10)
SD (11-3)vs cin (4-10)
SEA (6-8) vs tb (3-11)
CAR (9-5) vs min (7-7)
WAS (8-6) vs nyg (10-4)
Week 16:
TEN (11-4) vs sd (11-4)
NO (11-4) vs tb (3-12)
ATL (11-4) vs buf (5-10)
PHI (10-5) vs den (3-12)
CIN (5-10) vs kc (3-12)
MIA (4-11) vs hou (9-6)
GB (12-3) vs sea (6-9)
CAR (10-5) @ nyg (10-5)
CLE (4-11) vs oak (4-11)
NE (13-2) vs jac (7-8)
PIT(13-2) vs bal (11-4)
ARI (7-8) vs stl (3-12)
SF (7-8) vs det (2-13)
IND (10-5) vs nyj (2-13)
WAS (9-6) vs dal (6-9)
CHI (11-4) vs min (7-8)
Week 17:
SF (8-8) vs stl (3-13)
MIN (8-8) @ nyg (10-6)
JAC (8-8) @ cle (4-12)
MIA (5-11) vs pit (13-3)
NE (14-2) @ hou (9-7)
TB (4-12) vs atl (11-5)
CAR (11-5) vs no (11-5)
NYJ (3-13) vs cin (5-11)
DAL (7-9) vs phi (10-6)
IND (11-5) @ buf (5-11)
DET (3-13) vs chi (11-5)
SD (12-4) vs was (9-7)
BAL (12-4) @ oak (4-12)
DEN (4-12) vs kc (3-13)
ARI (8-8) vs gb (12-4)
SEA (7-9) vs ten (11-5)
I DID PLAYOFF TIEBREAKERS TOTALLY RANDOMLY, SINCE I'M WAY TOO LAZY TO CHECK ACTUAL TIEBREAKERS.
NFC East:
Phi Eagles 10-6 (3 seed)
NY Giants 10-6
Was Redskins 9-7
Dal Cowboys 7-9
NFC North:
GB Packers 12-4 (1 seed)
Chi Bears 11-5 (6 seed)
Min Vikings 8-8
Det Lions 3-13
NFC South:
Atl Falcons 11-5 (2 seed)
NO Saints 11-5 (5 seed)
Car Panthers 11-5
TB Bucs 4-12
NFC West:
SF Niners 8-8 (4 seed)
Ari Cardinals 8-8
Sea Seahawks 7-9
Stl Rams 3-13
AFC East:
NE Patriots 14-2 (1 seed)
Mia Dolphins 5-11
Buf Bills 5-11
NY jets 3-13
AFC North:
Pit Steelers 13-3 (2 seed)
Bal Ravens 12-4 (5 seed)
Cin Bengals 5-11
Cle Browns 4-12
AFC South:
Ind Colts 11-5 (4 seed)
Ten Titans 11-5 (6 seed)
Hou Texans 9-7
Jac Jaguars 8-8
AFC West:
SD Chargers 12-4 (3 seed)
Den Broncos 4-12
Oak Raiders 4-12
KC Chiefs 3-13
WC Round:
BEARS (6) @ Eagles (3)
SAINTS (5) @ Niners (4)
TITANS (6) @ Chargers (3)
RAVENS (5) @ Colts (4)
(Haha wtf...every low seed/road team winning...weird)
Div Round:
PACKERS (1) vs Bears (6)
SAINTS (5) @ Falcons (2)
PATRIOTS (1) vs Titans (6)
STEELERS (2) vs Ravens (5)
Conf Round:
SAINTS (5) @ Packers (1)
PATRIOTS (1) vs Steelers (2)
SB:
Patriots > Saints, 38-31 (Redemption from week 12 apparently)
Thursday, September 10, 2009
Week 1 Booms and Busts
This is something I did on a few forums last year...I'll stick them on here too.
BOOMS:
Frank Gore @ARI: Gore put up over 250 total yards and a score last year in his 2 games against Arizona, and he's supposed to see more touches this year than ever. If that's the case, Singletary will want to showcase him right away, especially while Shaun Hill gets comfy again. Look for another solid line.
Ray Rice vs KC: This guy is basically the starter this week. Even though he's in a committee, he may make for a decent RB2 play with KC's rebuilding D and the likelihood that Baltimore will clobber the Chiefs and run it a ton in the 2nd half. Flacco also looked for him at dumpoffs and flats several times in the preseason, and I see no reason that changes here. A score may not be in the cards because of the 2 fat cats behind him, but yardage and catches should be.
Mike Bell vs DET: As of writing this, it looks like Pierre Thomas won't play. If he does, obviously Bell isn't startable, but he makes for a nice flex play in this matchup if Thomas sits. Bell showed solid stuff in preseason, and had a decent rookie year with a nose for the endzone in Denver. If you're desperate, you may still find him on the FA list in even deep leagues (he was available in my 20 teamer and I snatched him up just in case).
Tim Hightower vs SF: We still don't know how the RB situation will shake out here, so I'm hesitant to call Hightower's number here in a sense. That said, he'll likely see at least double digit touches, is still 'the starter', and as far as we know, is the goal-line back. All that sets up for a decent flex play in deeper leagues.
Aaron Rodgers vs CHI: Chicago has been known for having a good D, but their top CB may be out/is definitely hampered this week, and Rodgers is still out to prove something after good stats but a failed year last season. He had 2 TDs in both games against the Bears last year, but given that this may be a shootout with an improved Bears O and retooling Packers D, he should get at least that and more yardage, if not more TDs.
Drew Brees vs DET: Look at the matchup. I know this is like me telling you AP against Cleveland will be a boom, but come on. Come on.
Matt Hasselbeck vs STL: His o-line is in absolute shambles, but the Rams are one of the best D's in the league to test a junky o-line out, and I think he'll do alright, especially since his RBs are an Old Man and a guy who runs about as well as Cedric Benson with a hangover. He'll have plenty of attempts and will want to play with his new toy.
Randy Moss vs BUF: The last time Moss had Brady in a season, he had about 250 yards and 6 TDs in 2 games against Buffalo. Just stop it.
Eddie Royal @CIN: This guy is going to have so many catches with Orton at the helm. Even with a lacerated finger, Orton/Marshall's rapport likely isn't strong yet, so he'll be looking at Royal a ton. Feast, my PPR pretties. Feast.
BUSTS:
Steve Slaton vs NYJ: Even with old whatshisname suspended on the Jets (this is how I'm referring to all players on teams I don't like from now on), the Jets still have a decent D, and a good defensive schemer in Rex Ryan, and the Jets need to keep the score so they don't have to engage in a shootout with a rookie QB. Besides, if Chris Brown really is the goal-line back, this is his annual "I'm Healthy Before I Break My Leg" Game. Expect RB2/RB3 #s from your #1 guy this week.
Chris Johnson @PIT: Remember how the Titans trashed Pittsburgh in Tennessee last year with 31 points and Johnson still had like 60 yards? Yeah, they're in Pittsburgh, and Pittsburgh is mad. He may get several catches, but I expect slim rush totals.
Larry Johnson @BAL: Start him if you have to, but don't expect a whole lot. The one piece of good news for him is that IF Cassel is out, they might feed him the ball alot and hope to get lucky. Of course, once they're down by a ton, his rush totals quickly diminish. Run like a girl from this matchup if you can.
Jamal Lewis vs MIN: He's old and playing the best run D in the league, and as far as I know the Williams Wall is playing. Run. Run!
Not-So-Fast, Willie Parker! vs TEN: See what I did there? Anyways, Tennessee mauled him last year, and even with Big Al gone, Jason Jones is a decent replacement.
Trent Edwards @NE: 3 of his o-line starters haven't played yet, and Buffalo has lost something like 87 straight games to us. The NE secondary looks like junk right now, but so does Edwards, and he's on the road. Oh, and TO just proclaimed he doesn't like the no-huddle. Sounds like good chemistry to me.
Matt Ryan vs MIA: He is at home, but Miami's secondary is looking fairly solid this year, and Ryan has the flu. He's a warrior, but even though I'm starting him in a couple deeper leagues, I wouldn't be surprised with a totally pedestrian low 200s 1 TD type line.
Jason Campbell @NYG: Campbell had 1 TD against the Giants last year, and in New York, he coupled that with 133 yards in the air. You can hopefully do better.
Bernard Berrian @CLE: When your rancid, old, needs-to-retire QB says you're way off the same page, you know you might not produce right out of the gate. Especially when your game relies on speed and your hammy is hurting.
Terrell Owens @NE: See Trent Edwards for details. Oh, and historically, Shawn Springs owns him.
Lee Evans @NE: Go look at Evans' stats against New England. Any year. I'm aware TO should free up space for him, but no team shuts down a WR like NE shuts down Lee Evans (I don't know why, it just happens).
Antonio Bryant vs DAL: Leftwich is slow, and Dallas sacks QBs alot. Unless Bryant leads the league in catching wounded ducks, he might not put up a whole lot this week.
Good luck this week all...I'll be back shortly with some season predictions!
BOOMS:
Frank Gore @ARI: Gore put up over 250 total yards and a score last year in his 2 games against Arizona, and he's supposed to see more touches this year than ever. If that's the case, Singletary will want to showcase him right away, especially while Shaun Hill gets comfy again. Look for another solid line.
Ray Rice vs KC: This guy is basically the starter this week. Even though he's in a committee, he may make for a decent RB2 play with KC's rebuilding D and the likelihood that Baltimore will clobber the Chiefs and run it a ton in the 2nd half. Flacco also looked for him at dumpoffs and flats several times in the preseason, and I see no reason that changes here. A score may not be in the cards because of the 2 fat cats behind him, but yardage and catches should be.
Mike Bell vs DET: As of writing this, it looks like Pierre Thomas won't play. If he does, obviously Bell isn't startable, but he makes for a nice flex play in this matchup if Thomas sits. Bell showed solid stuff in preseason, and had a decent rookie year with a nose for the endzone in Denver. If you're desperate, you may still find him on the FA list in even deep leagues (he was available in my 20 teamer and I snatched him up just in case).
Tim Hightower vs SF: We still don't know how the RB situation will shake out here, so I'm hesitant to call Hightower's number here in a sense. That said, he'll likely see at least double digit touches, is still 'the starter', and as far as we know, is the goal-line back. All that sets up for a decent flex play in deeper leagues.
Aaron Rodgers vs CHI: Chicago has been known for having a good D, but their top CB may be out/is definitely hampered this week, and Rodgers is still out to prove something after good stats but a failed year last season. He had 2 TDs in both games against the Bears last year, but given that this may be a shootout with an improved Bears O and retooling Packers D, he should get at least that and more yardage, if not more TDs.
Drew Brees vs DET: Look at the matchup. I know this is like me telling you AP against Cleveland will be a boom, but come on. Come on.
Matt Hasselbeck vs STL: His o-line is in absolute shambles, but the Rams are one of the best D's in the league to test a junky o-line out, and I think he'll do alright, especially since his RBs are an Old Man and a guy who runs about as well as Cedric Benson with a hangover. He'll have plenty of attempts and will want to play with his new toy.
Randy Moss vs BUF: The last time Moss had Brady in a season, he had about 250 yards and 6 TDs in 2 games against Buffalo. Just stop it.
Eddie Royal @CIN: This guy is going to have so many catches with Orton at the helm. Even with a lacerated finger, Orton/Marshall's rapport likely isn't strong yet, so he'll be looking at Royal a ton. Feast, my PPR pretties. Feast.
BUSTS:
Steve Slaton vs NYJ: Even with old whatshisname suspended on the Jets (this is how I'm referring to all players on teams I don't like from now on), the Jets still have a decent D, and a good defensive schemer in Rex Ryan, and the Jets need to keep the score so they don't have to engage in a shootout with a rookie QB. Besides, if Chris Brown really is the goal-line back, this is his annual "I'm Healthy Before I Break My Leg" Game. Expect RB2/RB3 #s from your #1 guy this week.
Chris Johnson @PIT: Remember how the Titans trashed Pittsburgh in Tennessee last year with 31 points and Johnson still had like 60 yards? Yeah, they're in Pittsburgh, and Pittsburgh is mad. He may get several catches, but I expect slim rush totals.
Larry Johnson @BAL: Start him if you have to, but don't expect a whole lot. The one piece of good news for him is that IF Cassel is out, they might feed him the ball alot and hope to get lucky. Of course, once they're down by a ton, his rush totals quickly diminish. Run like a girl from this matchup if you can.
Jamal Lewis vs MIN: He's old and playing the best run D in the league, and as far as I know the Williams Wall is playing. Run. Run!
Not-So-Fast, Willie Parker! vs TEN: See what I did there? Anyways, Tennessee mauled him last year, and even with Big Al gone, Jason Jones is a decent replacement.
Trent Edwards @NE: 3 of his o-line starters haven't played yet, and Buffalo has lost something like 87 straight games to us. The NE secondary looks like junk right now, but so does Edwards, and he's on the road. Oh, and TO just proclaimed he doesn't like the no-huddle. Sounds like good chemistry to me.
Matt Ryan vs MIA: He is at home, but Miami's secondary is looking fairly solid this year, and Ryan has the flu. He's a warrior, but even though I'm starting him in a couple deeper leagues, I wouldn't be surprised with a totally pedestrian low 200s 1 TD type line.
Jason Campbell @NYG: Campbell had 1 TD against the Giants last year, and in New York, he coupled that with 133 yards in the air. You can hopefully do better.
Bernard Berrian @CLE: When your rancid, old, needs-to-retire QB says you're way off the same page, you know you might not produce right out of the gate. Especially when your game relies on speed and your hammy is hurting.
Terrell Owens @NE: See Trent Edwards for details. Oh, and historically, Shawn Springs owns him.
Lee Evans @NE: Go look at Evans' stats against New England. Any year. I'm aware TO should free up space for him, but no team shuts down a WR like NE shuts down Lee Evans (I don't know why, it just happens).
Antonio Bryant vs DAL: Leftwich is slow, and Dallas sacks QBs alot. Unless Bryant leads the league in catching wounded ducks, he might not put up a whole lot this week.
Good luck this week all...I'll be back shortly with some season predictions!
Thursday, September 3, 2009
My top draft day targets
It's been awhile, but here's something a bit different. And of course, this is always subject to change. And this is for PPR.
- Maurice Jones-Drew. I've mentioned this countless times, but this guy is a good deal at any position, even at the #1 spot. Revamped/healthy o-line, upgraded passing attack, full load as a back. I can see arguments for taking AP or Forte #1 as well, but all the reasons are there for MJD to have a monster year, and this seems like a safe choice as any to stay in the top 5 of RB.
- Kevin Smith. I don't think people realize how solid he was once he got the featured back role in week 10 of last year. Here are his stat lines from week 10 on: 23-96-1, 24-112, 16-86, 12-22 (TEN owned DET), 21-64, 20-88-1, 24-111-1, 28-92-1. He's a featured back, which is rare for an RB2, and if Stafford starts, he'll likely check down alot.
- James Davis. He'll be the RB1 by the end of the year. Jamal is old and simply doesn't have much left in the tank. Great in dynasty leagues.
- Eddie Royal. I was shocked he made it to me in several PPR leagues around pick 60. He caught 91 passes last year, he has a dink and dunking QB, and a pass-happy coach in Mcdaniels. Even if Marshall sits out, he'll still be moved around enough to get his. Wes Welker-like #s incoming.
- Brandon Marshall. More a trade target than a draft target per se, but see if the owner is panicking and scoop him up for cheap. He'll play somewhere.
- Chad Ochocinco. He'll be back unless Carson bites the dust again, but even so, JTO is a big upgrade over Noodlearmed Fitzpatrick. He's being drafted in the same area as Braylon, and with Cleveland's QB situation and Braylon's hands, I'll take Ochocinco over him any day of the week. Primed for a bounceback year, and I'm liking him more each week that passes.
- Josh Morgan. Each week that Crabtree holds out means more rapport and time put in for SF's real #1 guy.
- Derrick Mason. For where he's being taken, he's a solid PPR guy, there's no clear #2, and Flacco should improve.
- Davone Bess IF STARTING. This situation seems to be oddly fluid, but if he starts, he'll be a PPR stud for the position he's being taken.
- Chaz Schilens. With the foot break, he's completely off people's radars. You may not need to draft him unless your league has decent sized benches, but hopefully he's up to speed by Week 4 or 5.
- Aaron Rodgers. I'd much rather have him over Rivers considering Rivers' TD/throw % was abnormally high last year and I think LT will have better #s this year. That said, I still hate taking QBs early, but he's an exception I might make in some cases.
- Jay Cutler. If he was still in Denver, he'd be taken above Romo right now. He'll find a way to make it work, just as he'll find a way to throw INTs. I'd take him over Matt Ryan and Carson at this point.
- Trent Edwards. Needs to cut down on some dumb decisions and oline will be an issue, but if TO still has it, he makes for a fine QB2.
- Chris Cooley. 1 TD seems like a fluke, and he still caught a ton of passes, yet he's dropping to the 9th in some drafts.
- Visanthe Shiancoe. Favre needs to outlet somewhere when he can't chuck a deep bomb.
- Dustin Keller. Rookie QB with a strong oline spells recipe for a safety blanket.
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