Indianapolis Colts Team Analysis

Peyton Manning:
A model of consistency if there ever was one. I may loathe the team and the guy, but I have to respect his ability to produce consistently for fantasy and real life purposes. I currently have him ranked as the QB3 overall, simply because you know he's pretty much a lock for at least 4,000 yards and 25 TDs. You'll take lines of 260 yds, 2 TDs and 1 turnover every week from your QB. I don't think Dungy leaving will have a huge impact on the team, because Caldwell has been with the Colts forever, and as of today, Mudd and Moore are back with the team. He's also not coming off surgery this year, so he won't stink the first few weeks like he did last year. Not much else to say. Draft the guy and you'll be set at QB...just don't reach for a QB. Ever.


Reggie Wayne:
Again, a fairly consistent performer. He had a 'down year' last year because Manning struggled initially because of surgery, and still managed 82/1150/6 or so, which isn't AWFUL for a WR1. He's probably not going to get you double digit TDs even with Marvin gone simply because of all the options the Colts have, but he's likely good for 90+ catches and 1250+ yards, making him a reliable WR1 option, with added PPR value. I have him ranked somewhere in the top 10 (I think even in the top 8) in my PPR tiers.


Anthony Gonzalez:
I think he'll be a solid WR, but people seem to be overhyping him more and more. I'm sorry, he's not a lock for high-end WR2 numbers, he's not a lock for over 1,000 yards and 8 scores. What he will have going for him is plenty of targets and a passing offense that will need to spread around 25-30 TDs somehow. He's definitely going to improve on last year's numbers (how can he not?) and might make for a decent dynasty investment as a career WR2. I've got him somewhere around Holmes, Moore, etc.


Joseph Addai:
I think he's one of the most polarizing picks in fantasy football at the RB spot right now. Some people say he's amazing value considering he's what...a year away from being picked in the first round of drafts? And some people say his numbers show an obvious decline and that he might end up seeing the minority of the carries by year end. For what it's worth, I think it'll be somewhere in between for most of the year. I don't think Addai will most some silly 500 yard season again, but I don't think there's any way he approaches 1k barring injury either. He might be a bit overvalued in drafts right now, but he should make a decent RB3/flex flier at worst.


Donald Brown:
See above for my thoughts on Addai, which will clue you in to what I think about Brown. He should be a solid runner since we've seen the Colts are willing to utilize rookie runners with regularity (see Addai's rookie year). Expect a nice fat RBBC, but scoring potential is there for both runners to have 4-7 TDs each along with 600-900 yards. A good dynasty league pick as well.


Dallas Clark:
One of the solid TEs in the league who has seen a nice uptick in numbers the last 2 years. That said, I think his numbers will likely be around where he was last year. I doubt he ever puts up double digit TDs again in his life, but he's safe, and should have 65+ catches and 725+ yards. A likely top 5 TE in all formats.


The Colts D is a decent pick, but 12 team leagues likely shouldn't have them rostered because of their continued run game issues, injuries, etc. Freeney and Mathis can always create pressure, but they're still a D you shouldn't be banking on for big points. Maybe the 15th best D or so in my book...won't kill you on most weeks, but likely won't get you any huge boom weeks either. A very 'meh' defense.

Potential sleepers:
A few come to mind, and they're all WRs. Pierre Garcon, Austin Collie and maybe Roy Hall are locked into a battle for the WR3 spot. They'll never see Stokley-esque numbers, but might make for decent bench fliers in some substantially deep leagues (I took Garcon with my last dynasty pick that wasn't a kicker...why not?) I expect Garcon to win that battle, but we shall see. There's also rumblings about Mike Hart seeing touches if Addai gets injured and Curtis Painter eventually taking the QB2 role, but you likely won't see those guys come into play anytime soon or in the next few years.